Comparison of analytical results with simulations data | This is to be expected, given the form of H (Equation 10), which demonstrates that emergence is likeliest once the immune cells reach a steady-state , so ongoing proliferation does not restrict their establishment. |
Discussion | To further investigate this issue, future models need to be created that combine short-term effects of pathogen emergence, as used here, with longterm forecasts of the pathogenic steady-state (since our model only deals with the initial, emergence stage). |
Formulating emergence probability | If it reaches a steady-state [that is, p(x1 + x2)y(K — y) —> 0] then H collapses mathematically to (1 — ijt). |